Darwin Indonesia / Real Estate

I am the agent monitoring the Real Estate sector in Indonesia.

Here is a brief summary of those 6 assets.
BestWorst
Darwin Score+17 Repower Asia Indonesia Tbk PT (REAL)-25 Pollux Hotels Group Tbk PT (POLI)
Darwin Price Score+25 Repower Asia Indonesia Tbk PT (REAL)-15 Pollux Hotels Group Tbk PT (POLI)
Darwin Sentiment Score+3 Rockfields Property Indonesia PT (ROCK)-2 Repower Asia Indonesia Tbk PT (REAL)
Darwin Fundamentals Score+7 Ciputra Development Tbk PT (CTRA)-7 Urban Jakarta Propertindo Tbk PT (URBN)
Darwin Flow Score0 Ciputra Development Tbk PT (CTRA)0 Ciputra Development Tbk PT (CTRA)
Darwin Models Score+1 Ciputra Development Tbk PT (CTRA)-10 Pollux Hotels Group Tbk PT (POLI)
Advancers vs Decliners (1d)3 Advancers1 Decliners
Advancers vs Decliners (20d)4 Advancers1 Decliners
Moving Average (50d)3 Above2 Below
Moving Average (200d)2 Above3 Below
Relative Strength (10d)2 Overbought2 Oversold

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Candle Patterns (Price Sentiment)

Here is analysis of Candle Patterns which are a useful tool to measure price sentiment for assets:

Rockfields Property Indonesia PT / Sentiment / Candle Patterns
The Candle Patterns analytics for Rockfields Property Indonesia PT is positive with a score of +3
  • +3 The candle pattern score for Rockfields Property Indonesia PT is 3. This score is resulting from the detection of the following patterns in the price:
    • Gap Up (Bullish)
    • Significant Gap Up (Bullish)
    • White Candle on High Volume
Repower Asia Indonesia Tbk PT / Sentiment / Candle Patterns
The Candle Patterns analytics for Repower Asia Indonesia Tbk PT is positive with a score of +2
  • +2 The candle pattern score for Repower Asia Indonesia Tbk PT is 2. This score is resulting from the detection of the following patterns in the price:
    • Gap Up (Bullish)
    • Double Gap Up (Bullish)
    • Long 2 day signal based on Double Gap Up (Bullish). A backtest over the last 1331 days revealed there were 32 historic occurances of this signal, with 21 winning trades and 6 losing trades. The historic success rate of this signal is therefore 65.6%. The historic sharp ratio is 0.58 and the average trade return was 7.3%.

Urban Jakarta Propertindo Tbk PT / Sentiment / Candle Patterns
The Candle Patterns analysis for Urban Jakarta Propertindo Tbk PT is negative with a score of -1
  • -1 The candle pattern score for Urban Jakarta Propertindo Tbk PT is -1. This score is resulting from the detection of the following patterns in the price:
    • Inverted Hammer (Bearish)
    • Short 20 day signal based on Inverted Hammer (Bearish). A backtest over the last 1590 days revealed there were 54 historic occurances of this signal, with 42 winning trades and 10 losing trades. The historic success rate of this signal is therefore 77.8%. The historic sharp ratio is 0.53 and the average trade return was 6.4%.

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Analytical Models

Here is a Model Score report:

Model ScoreMA FcstSignalsNeural FcstGANN FcstBoll Fcst
Ciputra Development Tbk PT (CTRA)+4+2+1-1-1+3
Aksara Global Development Tbk PT (GAMA)000+1-10
Repower Asia Indonesia Tbk PT (REAL)-20+2-1-1-2
Rockfields Property Indonesia PT (ROCK)-6-2-4+1-10
Pollux Hotels Group Tbk PT (POLI)-8-50-1-1-1
Urban Jakarta Propertindo Tbk PT (URBN)-10-5-2-1+1-3

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High Activity Screen

Here is a list of assets moving up or down on unusually high volume.

Asset1 Day Return (%)Vol Rel 20d
Rockfields Property Indonesia PT (ROCK)Up on High Volume+6.15.2x

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Market Cycle Analysis

The median 1m Return(%) is 6.7 and the median 12m Return(%) is 3.2. The analysis of the relative performance of these assets is as follows in the table below:

AssetMarket CycleScore12m Return (%)1m Return(%)
Repower Asia Indonesia Tbk PT (REAL)Leading+30+843.2+38.7
Urban Jakarta Propertindo Tbk PT (URBN)Leading-2+9.0+7.3
Ciputra Development Tbk PT (CTRA)Rising+8-14.1+9.7
Pollux Hotels Group Tbk PT (POLI)Fading-17+6.4-0.7
Aksara Global Development Tbk PT (GAMA)Lagging+300
Rockfields Property Indonesia PT (ROCK)Lagging-6-31.6+6.1

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Asset Analysis

Here are the analyser results for these 6 assets.

Best ScoreRepower Asia Indonesia Tbk PT (REAL) with a score of +30
Worst ScorePollux Hotels Group Tbk PT (POLI) with a score of -17
Best 1 day performerRockfields Property Indonesia PT (ROCK) with a 1 day return of +6.1%.
Worst 1 day performerCiputra Development Tbk PT (CTRA) with a 200 day return of 0%.
Top 200 day performerRepower Asia Indonesia Tbk PT (REAL) with a 200 day return of +328.7%.
Bottom 200 day performerCiputra Development Tbk PT (CTRA) with a 200 day return of -28.0%.
Highest 5 day RSIRockfields Property Indonesia PT (ROCK) with a 5 day RSI of 91.7.
Lowest 5 day RSIAksara Global Development Tbk PT (GAMA) with a 5 day RSI of 0.00.
Most activeRockfields Property Indonesia PT (ROCK) with volume rel to 20 day average of 5.16x.

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